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Permission Intelligence for Infrastructure

Infrastructure's next bottleneck is permission.

LANDMARQ maps the build-out, measures local impact, monitors political and community signals, and prices the resulting friction before capital is committed.

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LANDMARQ Risk Map showing San Diego neighborhood opposition scores and most-contested areas
Fig. 1: San Diego neighborhood opposition scores and most-contested areas

01The Problem

Infrastructure capital is queuing up faster than the risk of community opposition is being priced in.

“We spend 6 months and $300K engineering a perfect site, only to have 50 angry neighbors kill it at the first town hall. We have no data to predict this.”
VP of Development · Top 5 U.S. Solar Developer
  • Land availability Paces and Anderson have this covered. Covered
  • Ownership Title platforms handle it. Covered
  • Grid capacity LBNL data answers this question. Covered
  • Environmental flags Transect screens for these. Covered
  • Tax incentives IRA modelers have built the tooling. Covered
  • Offtake PPA platforms close this gap. Covered
Unpriced

Will the community permit construction?

No incumbent has addressed this. It is the only unpriced variable in the stack, and it is where LANDMARQ operates.

02Value Destruction Cascade

Pricing the risk early keeps the cost from compounding.

Catching it at origination costs nothing. By the time it surfaces in permitting, developers have typically sunk $200K+ in legal and engineering spend.

By construction, you are looking at injunctions, multi-year delays, and financing that has walked out the door.

Stage 1

Origination & feasibility

Hostile counties pass initial screening. Deposits sink into sites that will never clear zoning.

  • The False Positive

    Wasted opex

  • Sinking the Deposit

    Trapped capital

Stage 2

Permitting & financing

Zoning boards deny after spend is deployed. Counterparties withdraw when headline risk appears.

  • The Town Hall Kill

    $200K+ sunk

  • Capital Flight

    Deal collapse

Stage 3

Construction & operations

Lawsuits stop work after permit issuance. Litigation and friction drag on for years.

  • The Injunction

    12–36 months

  • Operational Drag

    IRR erosion

03See It In Action

Data centers made opposition risk impossible to ignore. We priced it first.

The same signal driving today’s data center backlash, scored for every asset class before you commit capital.

Neighborhood opposition ranking chart

Exhibit A

Opposition risk, by neighborhood

The same submarket-level signal now stalling data center approvals nationwide, scored with confidence intervals for every neighborhood.

Risk-adjusted expected value summary

Exhibit B

Risk-adjusted deal economics

Expected value modeled against friction cost, approval timeline, and combined pass odds.

Approval pathway with four gates and pass odds

Exhibit C

Where the permitting clock actually stalls

Four approval gates, each with its own pass odds and timeline. This is the sequence that turns a 90-day filing into a 764-day fight.

04Competitive Landscape

Incumbents have solved adjacent problems. Political and community risk has no owner.

The gap persists because acquiring outcome data is genuinely hard.

Opposition signals are unstructured, localized, and buried in municipal PDFs. Building the pipeline to extract and score that data is what creates a defensible position.

LANDMARQ compared with adjacent platforms
Capability LANDMARQ Gridics / Zoneomics HouseCanary Cape Analytics
Political and community risk No No No
Approval score No No No
Opposition model verified No No No
Geographic footprint San Diego (pilot)National rollout planned National National National